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The theory of probability |
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Calculating the essential elements of probability
We know a lot about probability if we can determine these two fundamental
elements: In general, the total number of possible cases is calculated by combinatorics, a branch of mathematics. Still at this web site, you'll find the best presentation of combinatorics. All four sets are clearly presented. Moreover, free software is provided to generate all possible types of sets and also calculate total possible elements in the sets — PermuteCombine.EXE. In other cases, calculating total number of cases is a matter of enumeration. How many sides does the coin have? Two = that's the number of total cases. A die has six faces = that's total possible cases. Determining the number of favorable cases is more difficult in most cases. In a very simple case like betting on heads (not over head!) in coin tossing it is easy. There is one favorable case out of two. Betting on face six of a die is also easy: One favorable case (out of six). Pascal's Triangle
The triangle is easily compiled. Each line is formed by adding together each pair of adjacent numbers in the line above. The first thing to notice about the triangle is how neatly line 5 summarises the five tosses of a coin (there are a total of 32 possible results of which one contains no heads, five contain 1 head, ten contain 2 heads, ten contain 3 heads, five contain 4 heads and one contains 5 heads). The Triangle is of great interest to gamblers, and provides the answer to questions relating to equipartition and combinations. |